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Date %Bulls %Bears B/B spread B/B ratio
08/06/08 34.0 43.6 -9.6 0.78
The numbers in the table above are Sentiment indicators. Whenever the %Bulls falls close to 30% in a Bear market, it usually indicates a change in current market direction. We saw this happen in March of 2008 and we should expect it will happen again eventually. (Sentiment Data by Investors Intelligence)

GET YOUR TURBO CHARGE HERE!!!!

Turbo Charge Archive

June 11, 2008 (00:27 CST)

Ladies and Gentlemen,

I have decided to change the format of this website to teach more about what I look for regarding the markets. I have been studying heavily some technical indicators and I would like to share what my findings are.

First, I would like to say, you need a program that allows you to run the Aroon Oscillator.  I use Jerry Medveds (Quotetracker) and as far as I am concerned, it works for me very well.  The Platform is nice.  There are other platforms out there but this is free.  I suggest it.  The stock charts that I post on this site are used with Jerry Medveds permission.  If you want charts that look like mine you know where to get them.


Lets get started.  The stocks below have several things in common.

(A) Represents a stock price reversal.
(B) Represents Stronger Volume on this reversal Day.  I use Volume with 50 EMA (Very important since it gives us a target volume to look for)
(C) Aroon Oscillator hits -100 on same day of reversal as Point B above.
(D) Volume gains before main price advance.
(E) Price Advances.









(Original List Posted on Sun. 4/27/06) Updated 05/17/08
Below is a list of Stocks that I have compiled that I think have the best chance of moving higher.  There is in essence, at least one company in every Sector. Should the corresponding sector come into favor the that given stock should rise.  This is not a Put your money in any one of these companies.  You have to do your homework and find out which sector is in Favor.  Currently OIL and Ag are in Favor so those companies are the ones working.  The compiled list is as follows.  

  • Energy: Range Resources Corporation (RRC) (up 0.3% since 4/25)
  • Medical: Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) (up 7.14% since 4/25)
  • Machinery: Bucyrus International (BUCY) (up 10.61% since 4/25)
  • Agriculture: Agrium Inc (AGU)  (up 0.63% since 4/25)
  • Agriculture: Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) (up 11.11% since 4/25)
  • Metals: Gerdau S.A (GGB) (up 31.62% since 4/25)
  • Business: Exponent, Inc (EXPO) (DOWN 10.99% since 4/25)
  • Telecom: JSC Vimpel-Communications (VIP) (up 16.92% since 4/25) 
  • Mining: Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO) (up 15.8% since 4/25)
  • Financials: Mastercard (MA) (up 19% since 4/25)
  • Retail: Burger King (BKC) (up 8.95% since 4/25)
  • Transport: Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) (up 7.62% since 4/25)
  • Compsoft: Moldflow Corporation (MFLO) (up 18.05 since 4/25)
  • Food and Bev: Foment Economico Mexicano (FMX) (up 5.93% since 4/25)
  • Aero: Integral Systems (ISYS) (up 17.3% since 4/25)
  • Home: Tecumseh Products (TECUA) (up 9.53% since 4/25)

****Please note, the market has been in a broadmarket rally since 4/25 for the most part.  Broad Based returns such as ones above are not sustainable in all sectors at the same time.  Please do your charting and fundamental homework before considering purchasing any stocks in general.

Stocks above are not the most expensive, but are serious contenders for great price moves depending on the sector rotation. 

Regarding the Bull% and Bull/Bear Ratio, the numbers are currently as follows.

  • Bull%= 46.0
  • Bear%= 29.9
  • B/B Spread= 16.10
  • B/B ratio= 1.54

So far since March we found a bottom when the Bull% hit 30 and change.  That was fun to be able to notice that and learn since this is a newer indicator for me.  On the other hand I am still a little skeptical regarding the current state of 46.0 bull%.  As you can see the bear % is back below 30.   I want to say that the market technicals are at a very important point.  Nasdaq is just above its 200 day MA's.  The DOW and S and P are just below their 200 day MA's.  This week we should see signs of whether we are going to break out into the new bull or go back down into the depths of despair.   

TT






Congratulations to Yelnats(Stan) for being the winner in the very first Glorystock.com investment challenge. Yel was able to amass a total return of 66.96% return in 6 months and is the proud winner of a new GeForce FX 5200 256MB 128-bit DDR PCI Video Card. He will now be better prepared to trade the real markets (with three possible monitors) as well as the new Glorystock.com investment challenge provided in the link below. Keep up the good work Yel. Just know we are all on your tail and will give you a run for the prize this time around.

The Glorystock.com Investment Challenge requires a free membership at Investopedia.com. After enrolling, you can join the investment challenge at the site below. Have Fun and Good Luck!!! (TT)







TURBOTECHS Long Term Stocks



 For more Micro/Small Cap stocks click

here



Today is Oct. 6th 2007. Had you invested 14,004 dollars and bought 100 shares of the stocks below at around the dates these stocks were posted on this website, your initial investment would be worth 15190 dollars. A positive change of 8%.



Below is a list of Russell Microcap Stocks that not only have growing fundamentals, but also have somewhat decent charts as well as overall increases in institutional ownership qtr. over qtr. on the year.


(FLWS)  1-800-FLOWERS (added 09/22/07) Stock Price 11.39

  • Tocqueville asset Management in the first qtr. of this year had 1.6 million shares of FLWS.  By second qtr. they increased ownership to 2.16 million shares.  Third Qtr of this year they increased shares of stock to 2.238 million shares.
  • Capital Research Management in the first QTR of this year had a stake of 942 thousand shares.  By the second Qtr of the year, their stake increased to 1.3 million shares of stock and by Third qtr of this year they increased ownership to 2.023 million shares of stock.
  • Loomis Sayles & Co.  did not own any of FLWS in the first qtr. according to sec.gov, but in the second qtr. they bought in with an initial stake of 1.37 million shares.  In the Third qtr. they increased ownership to 1.54 million shares. 
  • Frontier Capital in the First qtr of the year did not own stock in FLWS. In the Second qtr. the initial buy in was with 134 thousand shares.  By the third qtr they increased their ownership by 982% with a purchase of 1.18 million shares.

  • Overall it is this reviewers interpretation that this stock should do well in the long term.  Currently QTR earnings (yoy) are at 545.20%.  market Cap is 712.62Million with room to grow.  Keep this stock on the list. 26% of the stock is owned by Insiders.  

 

(AAON)  AAON Inc.  (added 09/23/07)    Stock Price:20.92

  • ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, INC. in the first qtr. of 07' owned 932,800 shares.  In the second qtr. of 2007 they did not increase their stake.  Royce in the third qtr. increased the share amount by 385 thousand shares.
  • BARES CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC. owned 506,890 shares in the first qtr.  By second qtr they reported owning 764,104 shares of AAON.  In the Third Qtr. they dropped 3000+ shares.
  • Though the chart does not look as promising as it could, I think for a long term play this stock can be rewarding.  Fundamentals are very nice.  391 Million Mkt Cap. Operateing Margin is 14.12% with Return on Eqty@ 24.67% Qtr. Rev growth is 19.80% with Qtr. Earnings Growth (yoy) at 99.00%.  Not to mention they pay a 1.30% Div yield. (annually) with 21% payout ratio.  27% of stock is owned by insiders.

(ABAX) Abaxis Inc.  (added 09/23/07)  Stock Price: 20.79

  • WASATCH ADVISORS INC. sold some shares in this last qtr.(<200 thousand) They still are holding 2.06Million shares.
  • LORD ABBETT & CO. started out the year with 1.46 million shares then in the second qtr. added 298 thousand shares.  In the Third qtr. of 2007 they reported owning 1.8 millions shares.
  • KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC. Started the year with 568 thousand shares. In the second qtr. they added 760 thousand shares to the stake, and by the third qtr they reported owning 1.6 million shares.
  • NEXT CENTURY GROWTH INVESTORS LLC. 1st qtr owned 986,781 shares.  Added 36 thousand shares by second qtr filing and by third qtr had 1.4 Million in total.
  • BROWN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC. They did not own shares in the first qtr. of the year.  In the second Qtr they reported owning 701,250 shares.  By the Third qtr, they doubled their exposure to 1.4 Million shares.
  • Tygh Capital Management, Inc. owned 458 thousand shares of Abaxis in the first qtr.  In the second Qtr, they reported 745,984 shares.  By third qtr. of this year, they reported 935 thousand shares of ownership.
  • Though the stock chart is not reflective of the company, I do think this very well may be a long term value play here.  According to the number of shares bought up this year by the investment firms, there seems to be some attraction. Fundamentals are nice for a small company.  Profit Margin 12%, Qtr revenue Growth(yoy)12.60% and Qtr. Earnings (yoy) are 29%.  This stock has a 445.74 million Mkt Cap, and 3.64% of stock is owned by Insiders.

(ACET) Aceto Corp.    (added 09/23/07) Stock Price: 8.93
  • ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, INC. Owned 2.275 Million shares in 1st qtr. They upped the stake in the 2nd qtr. to 2.357 million shares, then in the Third qtr. sold off this last qtr to 2.175 million shares.
  • DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS INC. Owned 2.116 million shares of ACET in the first Qtr then sold off a few thousand in the second qtr of this year, but still managed to own 2.114 million shares. By third QTR of this year Dimension sold off a few thousand more shares to end the third qtr with 2.110 million shares
  • PRICE (T.ROWE) ASSOCIATES INC.  In the first qtr of the year T Rowe owned 1.75 million shares of ACET then reduced their exposure in the stock down to 1.67 million shares by 2nd qtr. by the third qtr, the reduced down to 1.5 million shares.
  • CARDINAL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC.  Owned 1.136 million shares in the first qtr this year then added more to a grand total of 1.147 million shares by second qtr.  They added some more shares by third qtr and currently hold 1.209 million shares.
  • MAK Capital One LLC. Owned 1.205 million and bought some more shares in the second qtr to boost its holding to 1.214 million shares.  By third qtr they sold of a few thousand shares and currently hold 1.194 million shares.
  • If you notice, this is the first stock I mentioned in this section of the website that had all major investment companies progressively selling stock into the third qtr.  The reason why I mentioned this company is that their fundamentals are extreamly solid.  I think the selling was limited in that it was not a complete run for the doors.  I would like to watch this company to see if there is any correlation between sales or not.


(ACTU)Actuate Corp.  (Added 09/23/07)  Stock Price: 6.60

  • RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES CORP. in the first qtr of this year had 859 thousand shares of ACTU.  By the second qtr that stake was increased to 1.2 million shares and by third qtr, they owned 1.59 million shares.
  •  DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS INC. in the first qtr. of this year owned 1.477 million shares.  By second qtr. they increased holding to 1.522 million shares and in the last QTR, they increased position to 1.556 million shares.
  • TURNER INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC. In the first qtr of the year, Turner owned 1.287 million shares of Actuate corp. in the second and their quarter they owned 1.334 million shares.  Up marginally from first QTR.
  • Market Cap of 399 million, Qtrly Revenue Growth 9.60 (yoy), Qtrly Earnings Growth 113.20%, 6.40% of stock is held by insiders. Currently stock is in a trading range between 6-7 dollars.May have a little more time before it goes higher. Fundamentals are decent and will need to keep an eye on the stock.

(AVAV) AeroVironment, Inc.  (added 09/25/07)  Stock Price: 21.62

  • GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC. Increased Shares held of AVAV by 1043%.
  • Magnetar Financial LLC  increased their stake in AVAV by 47.6% this qtr.
  • ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, INC. Increased Exposer in AVAN by 320.3% this qtr.
  • American Century Companies, Inc.  increased their stake by 29%
  • Oppenheimer Funds, Inc. Increased shares by 17.9%
  • Portolan Capital Management, L.L.C.  increased exposure by adding 30.9% more shares of AVAV

Fundamentals:
Market Cap. is 419.45 Million.  Operating Margin is 16.25%
Qtr Rev. Growth 55.90%,  Qtr Earnings Growth 181.60%
TOTAL DEBT: 0,  Insider Ownership is at 44.93%

Conclusion:
This company is new on the market according to Google.
Average Volume is very low on this stock (101,000) daily.
This stock is in a downtrend currently, but all these large investment firms mentioned above have increased their holdings substantially.  That has to say something.  Over the long term I would say that this company is going to be a winner.  Love the fact that they do not have debt.


 



(AOB) American Oriental Bio.  (added 09/25/07/) Price 11.59

  • Royal Capital Management, L.L.C. added 1.4million shares
  • Columbia Partners, L.L.C  added 741,626 shares this qtr.
  • Vanguard Group, Inc.  added 1.11 million shares this qtr.
  • Peregrine Capital added 1.25 million shares
  • Wellington Management Company added 783 thousand shares.

Fundamentals:

Mkt Cap: 863 Million,  Profit Margin 27.01%
Qtr Rev Growth: 49.00%,  Qtr. Earnings Growth 65.90%
Shares Out: 74.47 Million,  Insiders hold 24.02%
Holding Institutions: 47.50%

Conclusion:
This stock technically was a buy breaking out of 10.00 to the upside.  There may be some problems at the 12.00 level so we will sit and wait.  As far as long term I think this stock will provide nicely thre to five years out.  Institutions are buying the stock in a market where the Big Caps are beating the market while the Small Caps are getting crushed.



(AMPH) American Phy. Service Gp.  (added 09/26/07) Stock Price 18.59

  • SuNOVA Capital, LP  Purchased 399,800* shares*
  • Alydar Partners, L.L.C  Purchased 362,500* shares
  • Dalton, Greiner, Hartman, Maher & Co., LLC Purchased 293,400* shares
  • J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc.  Purchased 206,800* shares
  • AXA Rosenberg Investment Management LLC. added 48,397 shares
  • Wells Capital Management Inc.  Purchases 170,250 shares

       (*) denotes a new position in AMPH by Institution


Fundamentals:

Market Cap: 132.62 (Micro),  Operating Margin: 30.86%
Return on Equity: 16.91%,  Qtr Rev. Growth  244.30%
Qtr. Earn. Growth:  1918.60%,  Float: 3.84M
Held by Insiders: 15.12%,  Held by Institutions: 36.20%

Conclusion:

This is a very low volume stock with some serious Fundamentals. 
The Institutions listed above are the Top Six holders.   Notice at the top the first four are new positions.  For a long term outlook, I think this stock will do well 3 to 5 years out.   They even pay a dividend.  I am wondering if this companies fundamentals are a one time thing.
Time will tell.  The Technical Buypoint would have been breaking out of 18 on high volume.  New Buy point if you are a swing trader would be breaking 20.  If long term investor, you can get in on any pull back. 
I still think this company is a fairly large speculative stock.



Ticker: (AWBC)   American West Bancorp.

Date posted and Stock Price:  09/30/07   ($19.61) 
Shares Issued: 17.19 Million 
Year High: 25.09
Year Low: 14.84
Annual earnings Per Share: 0.73
P/E Ratio: 26.84
15 Largest Institutional Action Last Qtr:
Out of the 15 largest positions held by institutions in AWBC, 12 stocks increased their positions.  The largest increases are as follows.
  • Wellington Management Company,LLP  753% increase in shares with a buy of  536,900
  • Barclays Global Investors  43.0% increase with a buy of 178,508 shares
  • Dimensional Fund Advisors  43.1% increase with a buy of 178,426 shares
  • Capital Research & Management  22% increase with buy of 100,583 shares
  • MFC Global Investment Management  34% increase with buy of 125,000

Related companies: FTBK, WBCO, CTBK, BANR, WCBO, RPFG,GBCI,CBBO  

Summary:

I am not Bullish one bit on Banks or any Financial Stocks,  But eventually they will need to turn around and move up.  The Question is when?  With that being said, I think that American West is small enough (337.17 MRK Cap) and has very nice fundamentals to be a decent growth stock.  Long term this stock should do better well.
64% QTR Earnings Growth with Qtr Rev Growth of 61.00%.  Time will tell. (Very Low Volume Stock.)  If you are a Value investor you may want to pick it up on retraces back to 18.00 if it goes that far.  If you are momentum you will want to get in this stock on a Break out at 22.00 on 4 times or greater volume.



All charts used on this website(unless otherwise noted) were snapshots of charts taken and used herin with permission by Jerry Medved Founder of Quotetracker.







Views and information found on any and all pages of this website are only opinions. Any advice or information from this website, should not be acted upon without first seeking council from a Financial Professional.


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